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加拿大移民政策会再次转向吗？什么是“有控制的增长”？
过去两年，加拿大移民政策的关键词一直是“控制”。
国际学生人数下降、临时居民规模收紧、部分移民项目减少名额，各省省提名配额也明显受到影响。对于很多申请人来说，2025年至2026年的加拿大移民环境明显比过去更加困难。
但最近出现了一个值得关注的新信号。
加拿大总理 Mark Carney 最近谈到，在移民体系重新得到控制之后，加拿大未来需要考虑的，是何时能够恢复一种 “controlled increase”（有控制的增长）。
这并不代表加拿大已经决定重新扩大移民规模，也不意味着Express Entry马上会大幅降分。
但是，它反映出政策讨论的重点可能正在发生变化。
从“减少人数”转向“选择加拿大真正需要的人”
加拿大目前仍然需要控制人口增长速度，并降低临时居民占总人口的比例。
与此同时，加拿大长期面对的人口老龄化、劳动力短缺和经济增长问题并没有消失。
因此，未来的重点可能并不是简单地问：
“加拿大还要不要移民？”
而更可能是：
“加拿大需要什么样的移民？”
这也是为什么Express Entry仍然值得高度关注。
Express Entry仍然是经济类移民的重要渠道
2026年的Express Entry抽选仍然相当活跃。
除了Canadian Experience Class（CEC）和Provincial Nominee Program（PNP），IRCC也继续通过category-based selection针对特定人才进行邀请，包括法语、医疗、技工等类别。
这说明加拿大目前的政策并不是停止经济移民，而是越来越强调有针对性地选择符合劳动力市场和长期人口政策需要的申请人。
对于申请人来说，单纯追求一个较高的CRS分数已经不一定足够。
职业、加拿大工作经验、法语能力以及是否符合特定类别，都可能越来越重要。
法语尤其值得关注
在目前几个Express Entry方向中，法语是政策信号最明确的领域之一。
加拿大已经设定提高魁省以外法语移民比例的目标，并计划在未来几年继续增加法语人口。
因此，对于本身CRS竞争力不足、但有时间提升语言能力的申请人来说，达到 NCLC 7法语水平，可能不仅带来额外CRS加分，还能获得French-language proficiency category-based draw的机会。
这已经不只是一个“加几十分”的语言策略，而是部分申请人的核心移民策略。
现在更重要的是提前规划
目前还不能因为Carney提到“controlled increase”，就认为加拿大移民即将重新全面放宽。
下一份Immigration Levels Plan如何调整经济类移民、Express Entry和PNP的空间，仍然需要等待政府正式公布。
但有一点已经越来越清楚：
加拿大并不是不需要移民，而是在更加谨慎地选择移民。
对于准备Express Entry的申请人，需要尽早评估自己的CRS、语言提升空间、法语可能性、职业类别、加拿大工作经验以及PNP机会。
未来加拿大移民的机会仍然存在，但机会可能越来越属于那些提前规划，并能够根据政策变化调整策略的人。
如果您正在考虑Express Entry、法语类别或省提名，但不确定自己的条件应该如何规划，可以联系我们进行个案评估。
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Is Canadian Immigration Entering a New Phase? What “Controlled Growth” Could Mean for Express Entry
Over the past two years, one word has increasingly defined Canadian immigration policy: control.
Canada has reduced international student arrivals, tightened measures affecting temporary residents, and limited immigration spaces in a number of programs. Provincial Nominee Programs have also faced significant allocation pressures.
For many applicants, the immigration environment in 2025 and 2026 has clearly become more competitive.
However, a recent signal may be worth watching.
Prime Minister Mark Carney recently suggested that once Canada has brought the immigration system back under control, the country may eventually consider a “controlled increase” in population growth.
This does not mean that Canada has decided to increase immigration levels again. Nor does it mean that Express Entry CRS scores are about to fall significantly.
But it may indicate that the policy conversation is beginning to shift.
From Reducing Numbers to Selecting the People Canada Needs
Canada still faces pressure to manage population growth and reduce the proportion of temporary residents.
At the same time, the country's longer-term challenges have not disappeared. Canada continues to face an aging population, labour shortages in key sectors, and the need for sustainable economic growth.
The question may therefore gradually shift from:
“Does Canada still need immigration?”
to:
“What kind of immigrants does Canada need?”
This is one reason Express Entry remains important.
Express Entry Remains a Key Economic Immigration Pathway
Express Entry activity has remained significant in 2026.
In addition to Canadian Experience Class (CEC) and Provincial Nominee Program (PNP) draws, IRCC continues to use category-based selection to target candidates with particular attributes, including French-language proficiency and experience in priority occupations such as healthcare and trades.
This suggests that Canada is not moving away from economic immigration.
Instead, the system is becoming increasingly selective and targeted.
For applicants, having a competitive CRS score may no longer be the only consideration. Occupation, Canadian work experience, French-language ability, and eligibility for category-based selection can all play an increasingly important role.
French May Be Particularly Important
Among the current Express Entry pathways, French-language ability stands out because the policy direction is relatively clear.
Canada has established targets to increase Francophone immigration outside Quebec and plans to continue raising those targets over the coming years.
For candidates whose CRS scores may not otherwise be competitive, reaching NCLC 7 in French can therefore be particularly valuable.
French may provide additional CRS points while also creating eligibility for French-language proficiency category-based draws.
For some candidates, French is no longer simply a way to gain a few additional points. It may become a central part of their immigration strategy.
Planning Matters More Than Waiting for CRS Scores to Drop
Carney's reference to a possible “controlled increase” should not be interpreted as an announcement that Canadian immigration is about to reopen broadly.
The next Immigration Levels Plan will provide much more meaningful information about the future allocation of economic immigration, Express Entry and provincial programs.
Nevertheless, one trend is becoming increasingly clear:
Canada does not appear to be moving away from immigration. It is becoming more deliberate about whom it selects.
For prospective Express Entry candidates, simply waiting for CRS scores to fall may therefore not be the best strategy.
It may be more useful to assess your CRS score, opportunities to improve English or French, occupational category, Canadian work experience, and potential Provincial Nominee Program options well before you are ready to submit a profile.
Opportunities in Canadian immigration still exist, but increasingly, they may favour candidates who plan early and adapt their strategy as immigration priorities change.
If you are considering Express Entry, French-language category-based selection, or a Provincial Nominee Program and are unsure which strategy may fit your circumstances, you may contact our office for an individual assessment.